Projections

Forecasts of population, components of change, and public school enrollment at the state and county level produced by the Demographic Research Unit.

Population Projections (Baseline 2016):

  • Press Release
  • Methodology
  • Appendix
  • Release Notes (see methodology document for further details):
    Vintage 2019 (2019.3.27): updated total population, age distribution of group quarters population, and components of change through 2018 (components of change differ from E-6/E-7 files because these projections have updated data).
    Vintage 2018 (2018.1.20): updated total population, race/ethnicity of births, and population age 15-19.
    Vintage 2017 (2017.6.20): updated population age 15-19.
    Vintage 2016 (2017.2.2): initial public data release.

P-1: State Population Projections (2010-2060):

P-2: County Population Projections (2010-2060):

P-3: State and County Projections Dataset:

P-4: State and County Projected Households, Household Population, and Persons per Household:

  • Release Pending

Components of Change

Birth Projections

Education Projections

Department of Finance Seal
Governor Gavin Newsom
Finance Director Keely Bosler
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