Projections

Projections of population with components of change, births, and public school enrollment at the state and county level produced by the Demographic Research Unit (DRU).

Population Projections (Baseline 2023)

• Methodology

• Release Notes:
  • Vintage 2024 (2024.9.23): initial public data release.
• Population projections visualization (ArcGIS web application)

P-1: State Population Projections (2020-2070)

• P-1A Total Population for California 
• P-1B Total Population by Individual Year of Age
• P-1C Total Population by Sex and 5-Year Age Group
• Total Population by Race/Ethnicity:
  • P-1D Total Hispanic and Non-Hispanic Race
  • P-1E Total Hispanic and Non-Hispanic Race Expanded

P-2: County Population Projections (2020-2070)

• P-2A Total Population for California and Counties
• P-2B County Population by Age
• P-2C County Population by Sex and Age Group
• P-2D County Population by Total Hispanic and Non-Hispanic Race

P-3: Complete State and County Projections Dataset

• Complete P-3 Race/Ethnicity and Sex by Age for California and Counties, Excel Compatible
  • California and Counties
• Complete P-3 File Comma-Delimited, Database-Ready Format – comma-delimited dataset and data dictionary (compressed with zip). This is a large file that will NOT open successfully in Microsoft Excel.
• Data Dictionary – text containing codes and correspondence tables

Components of Change

• P-CC: Projected Total Population and Components of Change, 2020-2070

Birth Projections

• P-Births: Historical and Projected Fertility Rates and Births, Calendar Year 2000-2050

Household Projections for California Counties

• P-4: State and County Projected Households, Household Population, and Persons per Household 2020-2030 

Education Projections

• Public K-12 Graded Enrollment and High School Graduate Projections by County – 2024 Series

Comments, suggestions, or questions? Please email ficalpop@dof.ca.gov.